IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern Utah
Big Sky
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.5	#226
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.1	#49
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#236

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#211

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.2%	19.3%	11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.4	15.1

.500 or above	53.8%	78.3%	50.4%
.500 or above in Conference	71.2%	85.0%	69.2%
Conference Champion	15.1%	26.0%	13.5%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	1.1%	3.3%

First Four	2.8%	2.5%	2.8%
First Round	10.7%	17.8%	9.7%
Second Round	0.5%	1.1%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 6	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	88	@ Nebraska	L	67-79	12%
Nov 13, 2019	67	@ BYU	L	74-88	9%
Nov 18, 2019	82	@ UCLA	L	76-89	12%
Nov 23, 2019	194	Charleston Southern	L	75-76	45%
Dec 01, 2019	149	@ Loyola Marymount	L	64-71	26%
Dec 07, 2019	236	Utah Valley	W	77-73	62%
Dec 14, 2019	160	UC Santa Barbara	L	71-72	48%
Dec 19, 2019	289	@ Long Beach St.	W	80-79	51%
Dec 30, 2019	270	@ Portland St.	L	78-79	49%
Jan 02, 2020	198	Montana	W	75-73	56%
Jan 04, 2020	279	Montana St.	W	83-77	69%
Jan 09, 2020	335	@ Idaho St.	W	78-73	66%
Jan 16, 2020	278	Northern Arizona	W	80-74	70%
Jan 18, 2020	280	Sacramento St.	W	76-70	70%
Jan 25, 2020	192	@ Eastern Washington	L	73-77	37%
Jan 27, 2020	338	@ Idaho	W	75-69	69%
Jan 30, 2020	191	Weber St.	W	81-79	55%
Feb 01, 2020	335	Idaho St.	W	81-70	82%
Feb 06, 2020	214	Northern Colorado	W	74-71	58%
Feb 08, 2020	270	Portland St.	W	81-75	68%
Feb 13, 2020	280	@ Sacramento St.	W	74-73	51%
Feb 15, 2020	278	@ Northern Arizona	W	77-76	51%
Feb 20, 2020	214	@ Northern Colorado	L	71-74	39%
Feb 22, 2020	191	@ Weber St.	L	78-82	35%
Feb 27, 2020	192	Eastern Washington	W	76-74	56%
Feb 29, 2020	338	Idaho	W	78-66	83%
Mar 05, 2020	279	@ Montana St.	W	81-80	51%
Mar 07, 2020	198	@ Montana	L	72-76	37%
Projected Record						14 - 14	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.1	2.6	3.7	3.7	2.4	1.1	0.3		15.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.6	2.3	4.2	3.9	2.0	0.6	0.1				13.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.7	2.8	4.8	3.2	1.1	0.1	0.0					12.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	3.3	4.5	2.7	0.5	0.0							11.8	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	3.2	4.4	2.1	0.4	0.0								10.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.7	2.9	3.9	1.9	0.2	0.0	0.0								9.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	3.2	1.5	0.2											8.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.9	2.2	2.6	1.1	0.1	0.0											7.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.8	1.9	1.7	0.7	0.1													5.4	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.0	0.0													3.8	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0															1.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.4	2.5	3.8	5.1	6.7	8.1	9.5	10.4	10.2	10.3	9.1	7.6	5.9	4.3	2.5	1.1	0.3			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.0
18-2	97.0%	2.4		2.2	0.1
17-3	86.1%	3.7		2.8	0.8	0.0
16-4	63.3%	3.7		2.5	1.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	33.5%	2.6		1.1	1.1	0.4	0.0
14-6	12.1%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	15.1%	15.1		10.3	3.7	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		67.5%	65.2%	2.3%	12.5						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1		6.7%
19-1	1.1%		52.0%	51.9%	0.1%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.5		0.2%
18-2	2.5%		41.6%	41.4%	0.3%	13.8												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	1.4		0.5%
17-3	4.3%		34.3%	34.3%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.1	2.8
16-4	5.9%		32.5%	32.5%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	4.0
15-5	7.6%		23.1%	23.1%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.6	5.9
14-6	9.1%		18.1%	18.1%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.7	0.9	7.5
13-7	10.3%		11.7%	11.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.1
12-8	10.2%		8.9%	8.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	9.3
11-9	10.4%		6.4%	6.4%		15.9																0.0	0.6	9.8
10-10	9.5%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.1
9-11	8.1%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	7.9
8-12	6.7%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	6.5
7-13	5.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
6-14	3.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	3.8
5-15	2.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
4-16	1.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
3-17	0.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.8
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.2%	12.2%	0.0%	15.0						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	2.2	3.6	5.0	87.8		0.0%